Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs New Orleans Pelicans · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 1:13 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+120/-162).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -134 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -162.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has totaled 3.0 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's totaled in all games this season.
Santi Aldama has averaged 31.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 5.4 more than he's averaged in all games this year at home.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have come down with 9.1 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Pelicans (minimizing possessions that could otherwise create bonus opportunities for offense).
Santi Aldama will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing at home usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

The 7th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games has been the Grizzlies.
The Grizzlies are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 5 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
The Grizzlies have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

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