Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/26/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 26, 2023

Updated Dec 27, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games as the road team.
The Pelicans have played at the 7th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Memphis Grizzlies.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Grizzlies rank 10thbest in in the league with 11.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has tallied 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league when it comes to getting T'ed up (85th percentile).
Over the last 15 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have come down with 12.1 offensive boards per game (3rd-most in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans (preserving possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).
Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally reduces player performance across the board.

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