Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Houston Rockets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 1:08 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+113/-147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied an impressive 2.3 assists per game this season, significantly more than his 1.3 assists per game last season.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have brought down 9.6 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Houston Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise generate added opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this year on the road.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league away from their home stadium this year, which should decrease plays for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama is expected to experience a decrease in production across the board considering being on the road in this game.

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