Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Memphis Grizzlies vs Boston Celtics · Nov 19, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:58 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Santi Aldama registers in the 19th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a mere 1.3 fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season.
The 7th-fastest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Memphis Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are on the road, their opposition has come down with 9.8 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics (minimizing possessions that could otherwise result in added opportunities for offense).
Santi Aldama figures to see an increase in performance across the board on account of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

The Grizzlies will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).

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