Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 5, 2023 11:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has been on the court for a terrific 21.5 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 10.9 minutes per game last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Memphis Grizzlies rank as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Pelicans have allowed the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Pelicans have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Grizzlies.
Santi Aldama will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers stat production for all stats.

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