Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 17, 2023

Updated Mar 17, 2023 9:48 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+103/-133).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Spurs have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to boost opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has put up 0.4 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- among the league's worst in this category.
Santi Aldama has played 11.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- seeing the court far less than most players in the NBA.
The Spurs have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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