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Santi Aldama

Santi Aldama Assists
Player Prop - 3/15/2023

Miami Heat vs Memphis Grizzlies

 
 
 
Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+167/-222).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -217 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -222.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Santi Aldama has committed 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least-whistled players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
  • The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 20 games.
  • The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.3) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Santi Aldama has averaged 0.4 assists per game on the road this year, ranking in the 13th percentile -- among the worst in the NBA by this metric.
  • Santi Aldama has averaged 11.5 minutes per game away from his home court this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Grizzlies.
  • Santi Aldama will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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