Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Los Angeles Lakers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 7, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+132/-172).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +141 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Lakers have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to more opportunities for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has put up 0.4 assists per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 13th percentile -- one of the worst in the NBA by this standard.
Santi Aldama has tallied 11.5 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- riding the bench far more than most players in the NBA.
At home, the Lakers have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.4) in the league to opposing teams over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Santi Aldama will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces player performance in all facets of the game.

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