Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 2:41 AM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-217/+165).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -204 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -217.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has tallied 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Grizzlies.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Nuggets have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (7.2) in the league to their opposition over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Santi Aldama has tallied 0.4 assists per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 13th percentile -- among the league's worst by this metric.
Santi Aldama has tallied 11.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- putting him among the least-utilized plays in the NBA.
Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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