Santi Aldama Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Santi Aldama

NBA · Player Props

Santi Aldama

F-C · Memphis Grizzlies

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Santi Aldama Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+152/-200).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Santi Aldama has averaged a whopping 21.4 minutes per game this season, quite a bit more than his 10.9 minutes per game last season.
The Memphis Grizzlies check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (which also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games while playing at home (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Grizzlies have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Timberwolves.
Santi Aldama will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production for all stats.

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