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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/1/2024

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers

Sam Merrill Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -170.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the league, Sam Merrill places in the 25th percentile for personal fouls, putting up only 1.1 fouls per game away from his home court this year.

The Pistons have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.7) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Sam Merrill has averaged 0.2 offensive boards per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- among the league trailers by this metric.

The 4th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from sharing the court with the 9th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA with just 6.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Sam Merrill ought to see a decline in production for all stats in light of playing away from home in this matchup.

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