Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2026

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics · Mar 8, 2026

Updated Mar 8, 2026 4:58 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 7.0 rate, Sam Merrill's points per game have risen this season to 13.1.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for three-point attempts; when the Celtics are away from home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.7).
The Cavaliers check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Boston Celtics have played at the slowest tempo in the NBA this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted just 1.5 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Celtics are away from home (5th-least in the NBA).

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