Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2026

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · Mar 3, 2026

Updated Mar 4, 2026 4:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 7.0 mark, Sam Merrill's points per game have increased this year to 13.2.
The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games while at home.
The Pistons have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to increased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games when playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) against the Pistons, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a difficult matchup.

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