Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 2/27/2026

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 27, 2026

Updated Feb 28, 2026 12:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-113/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 7.0 clip, Sam Merrill's points per game have jumped this year to 13.0.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 8th-best in the league on the road with 12.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Pistons, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on three-pointers (2nd-worst in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The 4th-slowest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

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