Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2026

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 7, 2026

Updated Feb 8, 2026 3:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a strong one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Sacramento Kings have the home court advantage, the opposition's starting SFs have totaled the 2nd-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 4.2 foul shots per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Kings, easily managing to draw fouls.

Favors Under

As a team, the Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the foul line in recent days: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team, drawing just 18.3 free throw attempts per game.

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