Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2026

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Utah Jazz · Jan 12, 2026

Updated Jan 12, 2026 11:39 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-111/-116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -111.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Sam Merrill has totaled 18.4 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.1 higher than he's totaled over the course of the season.
The matchup vs. the Utah Jazz is a favorable one for three-pointers; the opposing team's starting SFs have totaled the most treys per game in the NBA this year (2.4).
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 3rd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games, which ought to raise opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 5th-best in in the league with the home court advantage with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

When it comes to getting to the foul line, the Cavaliers's poor 21.4 foul shots per game settles in as the 7th-worst in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup against Utah is a challenging one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Jazz are the visiting squad (least in the league).

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