Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 7, 2026 3:45 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 7.0 rate, Sam Merrill's points per game have increased this year to 13.3.
The 3rd-fastest pace-of-play away team in the league this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Pacers).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 5th-best in the NBA while playing on the road with 13.1 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 5.3 foul shots per game (most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers, easily managing to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting SFs have totaled 2.9 three attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Indiana Pacers, identifying this as a hard matchup.
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the free-throw line of late: worst in the league over the last 10 games with a mere 19.2 free throws per game.

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