Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 12/25/2025

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 25, 2025

Updated Dec 25, 2025 4:44 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage.
The Cavaliers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup against New York is a challenging one for scoring; when the Knicks are on their home court, the opposition's starting SFs have shot for the lowest field goal percentage in the NBA this year (33.3%).
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the New York Knicks).
The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a mere 2.5 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (9th-least in the NBA).

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