Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 12/23/2025

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New Orleans Pelicans · Dec 23, 2025

Updated Dec 24, 2025 3:19 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/+112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 7.0 clip, Sam Merrill's points per game have jumped this season to 13.2.
The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Pelicans have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Over the last 19 games when they are playing at home, opposing starting SFs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league with the home court advantage this year.
This year, opposing starting SFs have averaged 9.1 field goal attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, branding this as a hard matchup.

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