Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2025

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Nov 15, 2025

Updated Nov 15, 2025 9:58 PM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+113/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -127 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 7.0 mark, Sam Merrill's points per game have surged this year to 13.6.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 6th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a rise in opportunities in this game from facing the 6th-quickest pace team in the league this year (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 2nd-best in in the NBA with 18.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Memphis may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted a monstrous 4.0 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting squad (5th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

In regard to three-pointers, the Cavaliers's subpar 33.6% rate of made threes rates 4th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Grizzlies is a hard one for scoring; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the least buckets per game in the league this year (4.3).

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