Sam Merrill Points - Player Prop Bet 11/13/2025

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Sam Merrill

NBA · Player Props

Sam Merrill

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 13, 2025

Updated Nov 14, 2025 12:05 AM UTC

Analysis

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 7.0 mark, Sam Merrill's points per game have risen this season to 13.6.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 7 games away from their home stadium, which should raise opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Toronto is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.3).
As it relates to getting to the charity stripe, the Cavaliers's feeble 23.8 free throws per game when playing at home rates 9th-worst in the NBA this year.
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.2 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.

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