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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 3-point attempts per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, branding this as a favorable matchup.
  • The 4th-quickest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
  • The Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from facing the most up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out best in in the league with 16.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
  • The matchup vs. Miami is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SGs have attempted an enormous 3.4 foul shots per game this year when the Heat are playing at home (9th-most in the NBA).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With respect to scoring, the Cavaliers's feeble 45.7% field goal percentage measures as the 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

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