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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill Points
Player Prop - 4/26/2025

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers

 
 
 
Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Sam Merrill has made 51.7% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 8.6% higher than he's made over the course of the year away from his home court.
  • Sam Merrill has sunk 49.5% of his three-point shots over the last 15 games on the road, 9.6% higher than he's made from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home.
  • Sam Merrill has tallied 25.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 6.2 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
  • The matchup against the Miami Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the other team's starting SGs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.3).
  • The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 10th-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
  • The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league in their home city this year, which ought to decrease opportunities for the Cavaliers.
  • Sam Merrill will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.

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