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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill Points
Player Prop - 3/20/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Sam Merrill has attempted 7.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 10 games, 2.1 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.

Sam Merrill has played 24.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.4 more than he's played overall this year.

When it comes to shot attempts from downtown, the 2nd-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cavaliers.

Among all players in the league, Sam Merrill slots into the 88th percentile for foul-shot ability at home with an outstanding 91.7% rate this year.

Sam Merrill will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city tends to raise player production in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Sam Merrill has averaged 2.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 0.9 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games while playing at home.

The Heat have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should decrease plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 8.1 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

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