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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -103.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Sam Merrill has made 2.5 three-point shots per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 90th percentile out of all players in the league.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 2nd-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 5 games as it relates to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
  • Sam Merrill has successfully made 90.0% of his foul shots while on his home court this year, ranking him in the 87th percentile among all players in the NBA.
  • Sam Merrill figures to see a spike in productivity across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have shot 38.1% on shots from the field (12th-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, making this a difficult matchup.
  • The 2nd-slowest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from competing against the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Boston Celtics).
  • The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
  • The Boston Celtics have given up the 4th-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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