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Sam Merrill

Sam Merrill Points
Player Prop - 3/3/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks

Sam Merrill Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Sam Merrill has converted 2.3 treys per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile out of all players in the league.

Out of all players in the NBA, Sam Merrill lands in the 23rd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a measly 1.1 fouls per game on his home court this year.

The Cavaliers check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

While on the road, the New York Knicks have given up the 4th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Out of all players in the NBA, Sam Merrill rates in the 87th percentile for foul-shot proficiency with the home court advantage with a a terrific 90.0% rate this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a favorable one for three-pointers; the other team has shot for the highest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 10 games (44.1%).

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games as the home team.

The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at drawing fouls on their home court: 3rd-worst in the NBA this year with just 19.9 free throws per game.

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