Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 1/22/2024

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 22, 2024

Updated Jan 23, 2024 2:52 AM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -123 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Saddiq Bey has been on the court for 32.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 86th percentile.
The matchup against Sacramento is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Kings are at home, the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the 29th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Atlanta Hawks will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games (the Kings).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks grade out 1stbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Saddiq Bey has successfully made 32.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 9.7% less than he's put through the net overall this season.
In terms of scoring, the Atlanta Hawks's subpar 42.9% field goal rate places 3rd-worst in the league over the last 5 games.
Saddiq Bey stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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