Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 12/15/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 15, 2023

Updated Dec 16, 2023 12:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last year's 40.1% clip, Saddiq Bey's shooting prowess has surged this year to 50.5%.
Saddiq Bey has tallied 37.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.2 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 1stbest in in the NBA with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing teams have secured 10.3 offensive boards per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Toronto Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise generate bonus chances for offense).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 12.1 points per game (12th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Raptors, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive productivity.
The Hawks will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Saddiq Bey has converted a measly 1.7 foul shots per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 mark last season.
Saddiq Bey will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally decreases stat production for all stats.

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