Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 11/26/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 26, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 11:03 PM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Saddiq Bey has converted a whopping 49.9% of his field goals this season, significantly more than his 40.1 rate last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Saddiq Bey slots into the 20th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a measly 1.1 fouls per game this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Hawks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they have the home court advantage, their opposition has come down with 10.0 offensive rebounds per game (8th-lowest in the league) against the Celtics (turning over possessions that could otherwise bring about additional opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Celtics is a challenging one for 3-point shots; the opposition's starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (23.7%).
The Hawks will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Celtics).
Saddiq Bey has converted a mere 1.6 foul shots per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 2.5 mark last year.
Saddiq Bey ought to suffer a reduction in productivity for all stats considering playing away from hom in this matchup.

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