Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 11/14/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 14, 2023

Updated Nov 15, 2023 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last year's 32.3% rate, Saddiq Bey's 3-point efficiency has risen this year to 43.0%.
This matchup is a hard one for 3-pointers; when the Pistons are playing at home, opposing teams have averaged the 2nd-least three-pointers per game in the league against them this year (10.1).
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo road team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home stadium, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 11thbest in in the league when playing at home with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Favors Under

Saddiq Bey has tallied 0.0 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA when it comes to technicals (79th percentile).
The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 10th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing clubs have snagged 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (6th-highest in the league) against the Detroit Pistons (saving possessions that can result in more chances for offense).
This year, their opposition has attempted 29.1 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to draw fouls.
Saddiq Bey will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally decreases player performance for all stats.

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