Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 26, 2023 3:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 16.1 rate, Saddiq Bey's points per game have increased this year to 14.3.
The matchup against Charlotte is a good one for field goal attempts; when the Charlotte Hornets are away from home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 26th-most field goal attempts per game in the league this year (12.5).
The 5th-fastest pace-of-play road offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA while traveling this year, which ought to boost possessions for the {OPP_TEAM}.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 7thbest in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
When playing on the road, the Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to get to the charity stripe.
Saddiq Bey is expected to suffer a reduction in production for all stats in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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