Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Apr 27, 2023

Updated Apr 27, 2023 10:41 PM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-118).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for threes; when the Celtics are away from home, opposing starting SFs have put up the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the league this year (40.1%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Celtics have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should boost plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Celtics have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Saddiq Bey has attempted just 10.7 shots from the field per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 13.9 mark last year.
Saddiq Bey has attempted a measly 5.3 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 7.4 mark last year.
Saddiq Bey has tallied just 26.9 minutes per game this season, significantly less than his 32.5 minutes per game last season.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup vs. the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a lowly 1.6 free throws per game over the last 15 games (13th-least in the NBA).

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