Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 25, 2023

Updated Apr 25, 2023 11:31 PM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
This matchup is a hard one for threes; when the Celtics have the home court advantage, opposing squads have posted the lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (32.3%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games.
The Celtics have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games at home, which should boost possessions for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year as it relates to three-point attempts.
While at home, the Celtics have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (14.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Saddiq Bey will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to reduces player production in all facets of the game.

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