Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 4/18/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks · Apr 18, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 11:46 PM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Saddiq Bey has shot and missed 6.3 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 8.4 mark last season.
Saddiq Bey has attempted 5.5 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 86th percentile out of all players in the league.
This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on their home court, their opposition have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (32.3%).
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.
The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.
When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Saddiq Bey will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court tends to lowers stat production across the board.

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