Saddiq Bey Points - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Saddiq Bey

NBA · Player Props

Saddiq Bey

F · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 12:21 AM UTC

Analysis

Saddiq Bey Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -119 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Atlanta Hawks check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league at home this year.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a challenging one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to opposing teams this year (103.9).
The matchup against the Celtics may be a hard one for getting to the free throw line; the other team have attempted a lowly 17.9 free throws per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

Favors Under

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 9th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Celtics have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home stadium, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Away from home, the Celtics have allowed the 9th-most offensive rebounds per game (10.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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