Ryan Rollins Points - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Ryan Rollins

NBA · Player Props

Ryan Rollins

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Ryan Rollins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ryan Rollins has attempted 4.5 field goals per game this season, significantly more than his 2.1 rate last season.
Ryan Rollins has converted 75.0% of his three-point shots over the last 13 games, 34.8% higher than he's converted from three over the course of the year.
Ryan Rollins has been on the court for 28.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 14.0 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Miami Heat is a good one; they have given up the 4th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (23.1).

Favors Under

Ryan Rollins has been called for 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's been called for in all games this season.
The 3rd-most lethargic tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
The Miami Heat have played at the most sluggish pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Bucks.
The Milwaukee Bucks rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Ryan Rollins will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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