Ryan Rollins Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Ryan Rollins

G · Milwaukee Bucks

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Ryan Rollins Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ryan Rollins has successfully made 75.0% of his 3-point attempts over the last 13 games, 25.0% higher than he's made over the course of the year.
Ryan Rollins has been called for 0.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the least lowest-fouling players in the NBA (25th percentile).
The Bucks check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing at home this year.
The Milwaukee Bucks will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 10th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Out of all players in the league, Ryan Rollins slots into the 100th percentile for foul-shot efficiency on his home court with a very good 100.0% rate since the start of last season.

Favors Under

Ryan Rollins has played 4.8 minutes per game at home since the start of last season, placing him in the 13th percentile -- putting him among the least-used players in the league.
The matchup against Toronto is a hard one for threes; when the Toronto Raptors are the visiting team, opposing starting PGs have put up the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (23.6%).
The 5th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Milwaukee Bucks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Milwaukee Bucks grade out 4thworst in in the league with a mere 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.7 free throws per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Raptors, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.