Ryan Nembhard Points - Player Prop Bet 12/29/2025

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Ryan Nembhard

NBA · Player Props

Ryan Nembhard

G · Dallas Mavericks

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 29, 2025

Updated Dec 30, 2025 3:32 AM EST

Analysis

Ryan Nembhard Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Dallas Mavericks rank as the most efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
The Dallas Mavericks have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
The Mavericks are expected to see a rise in opportunities today from squaring off against the 5th-quickest pace home team in the league over the last 15 games (the Trail Blazers).
The matchup against the Portland Trail Blazers may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a whopping 6.5 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (2nd-most in the league).

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PGs have shot 29.8% on 3-pointers (3rd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, making this a hard matchup.
The Dallas Mavericks have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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