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Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Russell Westbrook Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Russell Westbrook has converted 55.2% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 9.6% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this season playing at home.

Russell Westbrook has converted 43.2% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games at home, 8.5% more than he's converted over the course of the year on his home court.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league this year.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Russell Westbrook will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually improves player performance for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Russell Westbrook has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.

In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Nuggets.

The matchup vs. Sacramento is a hard one; when the Kings are the visiting team, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PGs this year (15.2).

The Nuggets will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Kings).

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have attempted 3.3 foul shots per game (8th-fewest in the NBA) against the Kings, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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