Russell Westbrook Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2025

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Russell Westbrook

NBA · Player Props

Russell Westbrook

G · Denver Nuggets

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 4, 2025

Updated Jan 5, 2025 2:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Russell Westbrook Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Russell Westbrook has successfully made 68.5% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games on the road, 19.8% more than he's converted in all games this year when playing away from home.
Russell Westbrook has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 6.2 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have averaged 50.2% on field goals (best in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, resulting in a strong matchup.
The 4th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Nuggets.
The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 9th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court, which should increase opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.

Favors Under

Russell Westbrook has accumulated 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.0 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.
In comparison to last year's 67.0% clip, Russell Westbrook's free-throw ability has diminished this year to 56.5%.
Russell Westbrook will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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