Rudy Gobert Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:29 PM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+125/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -185.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has averaged 3.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
Rudy Gobert has tallied 34.2 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season, placing him in the 90th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
Rudy Gobert is expected to see a rise in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert registers in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.1 fouls per game on his home court since the start of last season.
The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.

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