Rudy Gobert Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 12, 2024

Updated May 13, 2024 12:01 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has averaged 9.6 defensive boards per game at home this year, ranking him in the 100th percentile -- among the league's best in this category.
Rudy Gobert has averaged 34.0 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 92nd percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to lead to more plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Rudy Gobert stands to see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game when playing at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The 3rd-slowest tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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