Rudy Gobert Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/4/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 4, 2024

Updated May 4, 2024 10:31 PM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has posted 4.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's posted over the course of the year.
Rudy Gobert has played 33.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 90th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.1 fouls per game this year.
The 6th-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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