Rudy Gobert Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 2:33 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has totaled 9.1 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league by this metric: 100th percentile.
Rudy Gobert has played 33.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 87th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves will likely see an increase in possessions today from competing against the most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Spurs).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Rudy Gobert slots into the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.0 fouls per game without the home court advantage this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
The Timberwolves rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Spurs have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the league to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens player production across the board.

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