Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 5/12/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 12, 2025

Updated May 13, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+108/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -136 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has made 70.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games on the road, 7.4% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season while on the road.
Rudy Gobert has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team.
The matchup against Trayce Jackson-Davis is a good one; he has allowed a colossal 14.4 points per game playing at home when defending fellow starting Cs this year (88th percentile).
The number of fouls drawn by other starting Cs against Trayce Jackson-Davis has been remarkably high (3.3 foul shots per game) when facing other starting Cs this year (88th percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert rates in the 4th percentile for 3-point efficiency with a feeble 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Rudy Gobert has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated in all games this year.
The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Warriors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 10.4 offensive boards per game this year.

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