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Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert Points
Player Prop - 4/1/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Rudy Gobert has made 6.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's put through the net in all games this season.

Rudy Gobert has been on the court for 32.6 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

As it relates to shooting, the Timberwolves's impressive 123.1 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Timberwolves.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert comes in at the 4th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a bad 0.0% rate since the start of last season.

Rudy Gobert has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's committed in all games this year.

The matchup against Nikola Jokic is a challenging one for three-point shots; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have tallied a lowly 0.5 three-pointers per game (7th percentile).

The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.

The Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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