Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 29, 2025 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has converted 66.2% of his shots from the field this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Rudy Gobert has tallied 32.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The matchup against Nick Richards is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when guarding other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 11.1 shots made from the field per game (90th percentile).
The 3rd-fastest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert registers in the 4th percentile for three-point effectiveness with an unimpressive 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Rudy Gobert has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The Timberwolves are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Suns).

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