Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/16/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz · Mar 16, 2025

Updated Mar 17, 2025 2:59 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has converted 6.3 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.5 more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing at home.
Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert places in the 90th percentile for playing time, putting up an enormous 33.1 minutes per game this year.
The showdown with Walker Kessler places in only the 93rd percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs draining an enormous 1.0 threes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 3rd-best in in the NBA at home with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Rudy Gobert rates in the 5th percentile for three-point performance with a subpar 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Rudy Gobert has committed 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games at home, 0.9 higher than he's committed in all games this season at home.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs vs. Walker Kessler has been remarkably low this year (2.5 foul shots per game when they have the home court advantage: 17th percentile).

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