Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 2:24 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-106/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has made 6.4 buckets per game over the last 10 games at home, 1.6 more than he's put through the net overall this year when playing at home.
Rudy Gobert has averaged 33.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The rate of three-pointers converted against Wendell Carter Jr. has been very high (47.6%) when he is away from his home court and squaring off against opposing starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
The number of fouls drawn by opposing starting Cs vs. Wendell Carter Jr. has been very high (3.3 free throw attempts per game) when defending opposing starting Cs this year (83rd percentile).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Rudy Gobert places in the 5th percentile for 3-point prowess with a feeble 0.0% rate since the start of last season.
Rudy Gobert has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (87th percentile).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games while at home.
The Timberwolves will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from squaring off against the most sluggish pace road team in the league this year (the Orlando Magic).

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