Rudy Gobert Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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Rudy Gobert

NBA · Player Props

Rudy Gobert

C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Rudy Gobert Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Rudy Gobert has sunk 6.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.
Rudy Gobert has played 32.6 minutes per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
When it comes to offense, the Minnesota Timberwolves's fantastic 117.7 points per game while playing away from home comes in as the 8th-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The rate of 3-pointers scored against Nikola Jokic has been very high (47.3%) when he is playing at home and matched up against other starting Cs this year (97th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

Rudy Gobert has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The 7th-slowest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
Rudy Gobert will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production for all stats.

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